New survey data from think tanks and pollster Századvég reveals that among politically active Hungarians—those certain or likely to vote—40 per cent support the Fidesz–KDNP coalition. The Tisza Party follows with 31 per cent, while the satirical Hungarian Two-Tailed Dog Party (MKKP) would garner 7 per cent, and the Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) 6 per cent if elections were held this Sunday. Other opposition parties, including the Democratic Coalition, Momentum, and MSZP, remain below the 5 per cent parliamentary threshold, with 7 per cent of respondents still undecided.
Among voters committed to a specific party, governing Fidesz–KDNP’s lead has grown, with a projected support of 42 per cent in a hypothetical election held this Sunday. The Tisza Party would receive 34 per cent, while MKKP and Our Homeland each hold 7 per cent. The Democratic Coalition trails at 5 per cent, with Momentum and MSZP at 3 per cent and 1 per cent, respectively.
‘Fidesz–KDNP’s lead has grown, with a projected support of 42 per cent in a hypothetical election held this Sunday’
The survey also examined the fallout from a series of high-profile controversies involving Péter Magyar, leader of the Tisza Party. Recent incidents include his confrontational behaviour towards child welfare workers, an altercation where he pushed government commissioner Tamás Menczer, and leaked audio recordings in which he criticized his own supporters, Tisza MEPs, and a series of media outlets.
These actions have notably damaged his public image. Péter Magyar’s favourability index—calculated as the difference between positive and negative opinions—has consistently been in the negative range since September. By November, 42 per cent of respondents viewed him favourably, compared to 54 per cent unfavourably, resulting in a favourability index of -12. In December, his ratings dropped further, with positive opinions falling to 39 per cent and negative views rising to 57 per cent, reducing his favourability index to -18.
Magyar’s controversies have led to a six-point decline in his favourability index over the past month, as stated in Századvég’s report. Despite the Tisza Party’s relatively strong position in voter support, its leader’s negative image poses a challenge to its electoral ambitions.
As Fidesz–KDNP solidifies its position and the Tisza Party navigates internal turbulence, the Századvég survey reflects the evolving dynamics of Hungary’s political arena. With elections on the horizon, the balance between public confidence and controversy will be critical in shaping outcomes.
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