The outcome of the European elections in France was the manifestation of the feelings of the French people after forty years of failed policies, which have led the country into the abyss of insecurity, crime, and the sprouting of no-go zones.
While there may have been great expectations to the contrary, French President Emmanuel Macron has turned out to be ‘just another’ politician. He has overseen some changes in the French economy, but nothing worth highlighting as major. He wanted to change the retirement system and could not; all he did was the slight move of increasing the retirement age and even that provoked demonstrations all over the country.
Now the opportunity has come, albeit very late, for France to change its course.
Marine Le Pen seems to be finally ‘the chosen’ one after seven years of failed attempts. The big victory of her party, Rassemblement National (RN) in the European elections, garnering twice as many votes as Macron’s party, has been devastating for the mainstream of French politics. Likewise, Jordan Bardella stands as a great figure in French politics at only 28 years of age and will have the great task of joining forces in the European parliament with the ECR.
The great results of the RN in the European Parliament elections quickly prompted Emmanuel Macron to act and flee forward. Seeing his party’s disastrous showing, he decided to dissolve the National Assembly and call early legislative elections.
If RN wins by a landslide in the parliamentary elections, which is what seems likely to happen, it could cause a domino effect and lead Macron to resign as President of the French Republic. And if he resigns, he cannot run again as a presidential candidate. Let’s remember that France in this respect works the same way the United States: a person can only be president for two terms, and is not allowed to run again. And let’s also remember that Macron’s party (La République En Marche!) is nothing without Macron. So, it looks like we will have a substantial change of course in Europe and France is an extremely important country to lead the way, economically, politically and geopolitically.
Make no mistake: Macron’s project has been a massive failure. Illegal and massive immigration, delinquency, no-go zones, insecurity have not stopped rising during his tenure, on the contrary, they have reached peaks never seen before in the Gallic country. Not to mention how many times we have seen France burn during the mandate of liberal Macron.
The key in the legislative elections will be the union of the right wing, as
massive support for the RN could be the final blow to Macron and the end of failed policies in France.
Let’s start with Les Républicains, the traditional French centre-right party. We saw how Valerie Pécresse, their candidate in the 2022 presidential election, has said that in France the ‘Great Replacement’ was taking place, a notion that theoretically was of the so-called ‘ultra-right’. Nevertheless, she suffered a dismal defeat in the presidential election; at the time, she still supported Macron. Well, it seems that this time Les Républicains have learned their lesson and will likely support Le Pen in the legislative elections; we will see on what conditions, or with what kind of pacts. However, this development did not sit well with some members of the party’s leadership, who, in fact, have removed Éric Ciotti as president.
Another big unknown is what will happen with Reconquête! The party led by the polemicist Eric Zemmour tried to make an agreement with the RN to form a kind of ‘coalition’ before the legislative elections and unite the sovereigntist and anti-immigration parties. But seeing the poor results of Zemmour’s party, collecting only 5.1 per cent of the votes in the European elections, Bardelame to the conclusion that he would not enter any kind of agreement, as he understood that many of the Reconquête! voters, by inertia, would vote for the RN to concentrate the vote and not ‘waste’ it on a party that would not have any decision-making power at the end of the day. This made Zemmour disengage from the union of the right, and now he wants to run alone in the upcoming elections.
However, Marion Maréchal, the other iconic face of the party, maybe even more well-known now than Zemmour, dissociated herself and, with three other Reconquête! MEPs, called her supporters to vote for the RN, her aunt’s party, out of common sense and commitment to trying and recover France. This led Zemmour to decide to expel these four MEPs from the party, something that is really incomprehensible, since both Marion Maréchal and the other MEPs, but especially she and Nicolas Bay, have worked very hard for the party. The 5 per cent achieved would allow their party to enter the European Parliament and join ECR. Maréchal has nailed it down that she will not return to the RN, something that the media, in an attempt to weaken her, were suggesting.
The worst thing that can happen right now in France is the disunity of the right-wing parties, because if they stand united, they really have the best opportunity ever to change the course. It is not going to be an easy task, after a forty-year inaction in which even bringing up the issue of illegal immigration and insecurity was outright branded as extreme right-wing rhetoric. Albeit this is still happening, it is having less and less effect on a large part of the right-wing electorate, as they have got used to the labelling, and now even mock it.
France has been the par excellence political example of how not to act in the face of illegal and massive immigration,
how the multiculturalism propagated by Brussels bureaucrats is a farce and the only thing it provokes is delinquency, insecurity, and that if changes in a country arrived late, root problems are very difficult to solve. If Le Pen finally does come to power, she will have a very difficult mission, as some of her proposals go beyond the limits of the EU. If she wants to solve the core problems in France, she will have to act and do so forcefully. She cannot delay doing so or she will really be ‘one more’ on the list of French politicians who did nothing to pull their country out of decline. She must fortify herself as there will definitely be demonstrations, ad hominem attacks, and the ‘anti-fascist’ groups will coordinate among themselves to set France on fire like we have never seen before. But Le Pen must act: it is her mission and it is her moral and political duty.
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