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The Unexpected Triumph of Donald Trump: The Election of 2016

Real estate developer and reality TV show star Donald Trump was given very little chance by mainstream journalists and pollsters in 2016. However, by focusing on illegal immigration and standing up against the new ‘woke’ PC activists at the time,…

Donald Trump Retakes the Lead in RealClearPolitics Polling Aggregate

For the first time since early August, President Donald Trump is leading the national polling aggregate by RealClearPolitics over Vice President Kamala Harris. His current lead is just 0.2 points. However, he was underestimated by pollsters in the popular vote…

Most Accurate Pollster Still Has Donald Trump Winning the Election

The Brazil-based polling firm AtlasIntel, which got the popular vote margins right by 0.3 points in the last two election cycles in the United States, has released its latest national vote prediction for the 2024 US presidential election. It shows…

Most Accurate US Pollster Has Donald Trump Winning the Election

Atlas Intel has gotten the popular vote margins correct within 0.3 percentage points in the US in the last two election cycles. Their most recent polling data has Donald Trump leading Kamala Harris by 2.9 points in the popular vote;…

What to Expect From the Second US Presidential Debate — Will Harris Bomb Like Biden?

President Joe Biden was pressured into dropping out of the race by his own party after a disastrous debate performance in June. Now, as the momentum is shifting back towards Trump, the limelight will be on Vice President Kamala Harris…
Anton Hickel, The House of Commons 1793–94 (1793–1795). National Portrait Gallery, London, UK

Why Did We Lose the Election? And What Now?

‘The party needs rebuilding. It needs a clear philosophy with policies that voters can see are capable of solving the country’s problems. And it needs a leader, and a leadership team, who can credibly represent conservatism and properly articulate it….
US Vice President and Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris waves as she boards Air Force Two departing Pittsburgh International Airport in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania on 2 September 2024.

Is Kamala Harris’ Lead in the Polls Fake?

Axios has recently published a story in which the chair of the Harris-Walz campaign calls Democrats ‘the clear underdogs’ in the presidential election. While Harris is performing well in public polling, rumours are that her team’s internal numbers tell a…
Kamala Harris in February 2020

For Someone in the Lead, Kamala Harris Copies Trump a Lot

Democrat presidential nominee Kamala Harris blatantly copied Donald Trump’s proposal for eliminating taxes on tips, as well as including a very similar plan for child tax credit in her economic agenda to what JD Vance proposed during a TV interview….

What Joe Biden Dropping Out Means for the 2024 Election Chances

In an unprecedented twist of events, we now have the incumbent party running a non-incumbent candidate, while the non-incumbent party is running a former incumbent candidate. The incumbent advantage is a well-documented phenomenon in American politics, a lot of which…

Former Ambassador, US Expert Tamás Magyarics Discusses Trump Assassination Attempt and 2024 Election Prospects

‘Especially after the assassination attempt, there will be some sympathy for Trump. The images as he was raising his fist, with the American flag in the background, in defiance of critical violence, with blood on his face—that’s a very strong…

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